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Cybersecurity Stocks are the New Defense in a Digital Wild West

It’s a trite (but true) saying - at this point, the digital world is a battlefield.
And cybersecurity stocks are stealing the spotlight.
With ransomware attacks spiking 30% year-over-year and AI-powered hackers outsmarting old-school defenses, this $225 billion sector is outpacing tech’s broader gains - not to mention the wider market’s sluggish start to the year.
The NASDAQ Cybersecurity Index (INDEXNASDAQ: NQCYBR) is up a solid 12.5% year-to-date, leagues above the S&P 500’s sub-1% return. As Trump’s national security push pours billions into cyber defenses, these stocks could create an unassailable fortress within your long-term portfolio

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The Cybersurge is On
Cybersecurity is the backbone of a digital economy under siege. Experts project that global cyber spending will reach $225 billion in 2025, a 12% increase from 2024, driven by relentless threats and increased government muscle. Key catalysts include:
Ransomware: Attacks already cost businesses $20 billion in 2025 , pushing firms to bolster endpoint security.
AI-Powered Threats: Deepfake phishing scams are up 40%, demanding AI-driven countermeasures.
Government Tailwinds: An ongoing $10 billion NSA cyber initiative is funneling contracts to nimble innovators, not just legacy giants, while increased funding across Federal entities sweetens the deal.
Small-cap cyber firms are outmaneuvering dinosaurs and offer diversified options that are increasingly attractive after last year’s brief Crowdstrike (NASDAQ: CRWD) collapse in July 2024 (our best-in-class small-caps are below!).
At the blue-chip end of the spectrum, hyperscalers like Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), which bagged a portion of the aforementioned $10 billion NSA contract last year, and Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) are inking deals with agile players to secure cloud networks.
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Recent Cyberattacks Sounding the Alarm
The cyber threat isn’t vaporware. It’s hitting hard. In April 2025, Algeria-linked hackers leaked data from Morocco’s National Social Security Fund, exposing 2 million people’s details.
February saw North Korean hackers swipe $1.5 billion in Ethereum from Dubai’s ByBit exchange, the biggest crypto heist ever.
Closer to home, Yale New Haven Health’s breach in March 2025 compromised 5.6 million patients’ data. These attacks, spanning governments, crypto, and healthcare, scream one thing: no one’s safe, and cyber defenses need to level up fast.

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Risks in the Race
The rally’s hot, but risks lurk. The Nasdaq Cybersecurity Index’s 28x forward P/E ratio implies premium pricing, while regulatory crackdowns, like GDPR’s $2 billion in 2025 fines, could squeeze margins. AI defense models are vulnerable to data poisoning, and a global recession could curb enterprise spending.
Still, models project 10–12% annualized returns for cyber stocks over a decade, beating tech’s 8%.
The Main Takeaway
Cybersecurity’s structural growth is bulletproof. McKinsey estimates cyber incidents will double by 2027, and stocks in this space offer less volatility than pure-play AI software picks.
Cybersecurity stocks are a digital shield, but don’t go all-in blindly.
❌ Chasing overhyped names at nosebleed valuations is a trap. Regulatory or tech hiccups could be a showstopper.
✅ Diversify across endpoint, cloud, and AI-driven security, favoring firms with government or hyperscaler contracts.
✅ Bet on small-cap innovators for growth, but anchor with ETFs or blue-chip stocks for balance.
Global X Cybersecurity ETF (NASDAQ: BUG)
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SentinelOne (NYSE: S)
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Rapid7 (NASDAQ: RPD)
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If you’d prefer a bit more meat in your market cap, one standout can help stabilize smaller growth stocks like SentinelOne and Rapid7:
Zscaler (NASDAQ: ZS) ZS shares may be the year’s biggest cybersecurity winner thus far after posting a strong earnings beat last week. Shares surged 10% following the report, but the hyperscaler’s industry position and strong contract portfolio (which includes Microsoft) make Zscaler as blue-chip as they come. |

That’s it for today’s edition—thanks for reading! Reply to this email with any feedback or let me know which macro trends or markets you’d like me to cover next.
Best Regards,
—Noah Zelvis
Macro Notes