The $100 Barrel Is Forcing Warsh's Hand

Next AI Winners (Sponsored)

3 AI stocks to buy before December 2026

Alexander Green bought Apple before the iPhone, Nvidia at a split-adjusted 66 cents, and Amazon and Netflix years before their biggest runs.

Now, after decades of spotting major technology trends early, he says he has identified three AI stocks that could lead the next phase of the boom.

These are not the obvious names most investors are already chasing.

Reveal Alexander Green’s 3 AI Stocks for the Next Decade

Where Things Stand

The trade you'd have laughed at in July? It's the base case now. Crude near triple digits. The 10-year yield is near 4.8%. Kevin Warsh walking into a meeting where the market genuinely does not know if he'll cut, hold, or hike.

That uncertainty is the whole story.

Every long-duration asset you own is being repriced. Tech multiples, REITs, growth names, long Treasuries. All of it. And this oil shock does more than push gasoline prices around; it yanks the disinflation trade off the table just as the Fed was supposed to be taking a victory lap.

How We Got Here

Two shocks, back to back. Tankers went down near the Strait of Hormuz, driving Brent from the mid-$60s to near $100 in about six weeks.

Then the August jobs report blew out at nearly three times consensus, with prior months revised higher. So much for the "labor is cracking" story you'd been sold to prop up cut expectations.

Layer in July CPI at 3.4% and PPI at 4.7%, both well north of the Fed's 2% target, and you have a bond market that's finally saying enough.

AI warning (Sponsored)

Your AI "Prepper" Toolkit

Artificial intelligence is creating enormous opportunities—but some investors are also preparing for a very different future.

One veteran market analyst believes the next wave of AI could dramatically reshape the economy, and he's released a free briefing outlining the trends he's watching and the strategy he believes investors should understand.

Watch the Free Briefing.

Why The Pressure Isn't Going Away

Here are three reasons this sticks for you.

Hormuz risk is structural. A fifth of global oil moves through that chokepoint. That premium doesn't unwind in a week.

The Fed is boxed in. Warsh has been hawkish in speeches. Hiking into a growth slowdown looks ugly. Sure. But validating 3%-plus inflation looks worse.

Supply is relentless. Treasury keeps issuing, foreign central banks aren't backstopping like they used to, and the AI build-out is soaking up corporate credit at the same time.

Dollar Squeeze (Sponsored)

The 35X Money Supply Gap Investors Fear

Since 1971, official inflation figures show a rise of 8.3X. In reality, the U.S. money supply has grown 35X.

Weiss Ratings senior analyst Gavin Magor calls the gigantic gap "Project Pyramid." 

U.S. debt is now over 121% of GDP.

That's higher than the peak of World War 2.

Foreign nations are already pulling back, and your portfolio needs its own backup plan.

Here's the strategy Gavin recommends before the gap gets worse

What Happens Next

The disinflation trade keeps unwinding. Long Treasuries stay under pressure until oil rolls over or growth actually cracks.

Growth stocks that ran on falling-rate math have real air pockets underneath them. Watch small caps get squeezed twice: higher discount rates plus higher input costs.

Flip side: hard assets, oil producers, refiners, defense contractors, copper miners. All get the tailwind. If Friday's CPI prints hot (Cleveland Fed's Nowcast has 0.4% MoM), hike odds cross 70%, and you'll see this thing accelerate in a hurry.