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- The 2026 Corporate Resolution Looks Simple: Fewer Hires, More Bots
The 2026 Corporate Resolution Looks Simple: Fewer Hires, More Bots
New year, new corporate diet plan: cut the fluff, keep the headcount flat, and let software do the heavy lifting.
Companies are sketching out 2026 budgets, and hiring is showing up in the notes as a maybe later, not a must-do.

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The message from big employers is pretty consistent: stay lean. A lot of leaders are signaling they want to maintain team size next year or even shrink it, while leaning harder on technology to absorb the extra tasks. Think of it as the corporate version of meal prep: fewer ingredients, same calories, more automation.
This lines up with what the labor market has been hinting at for months. Hiring has cooled, white-collar openings feel tighter, and workers are less eager to jump ship. When fewer people quit, companies don’t “need” to replace them. That naturally lowers the number of new job postings, which makes the whole market feel sticky and slow.
AI is the wild card everyone is quietly trying to price in. A lot of execs are basically saying: we’re not sure what roles we can replace, but we’re confident the answer is not zero. That pushes spending toward software, automation tools, and workflow systems instead of new payroll lines.
For investors, the takeaway is not to panic about an immediate crash. It’s to recognize what’s likely to get budget priority in 2026:
productivity tools that help teams do more with less
HR and payroll platforms that make lean operations easier
training and reskilling that helps existing staff cover more ground
flexible labor models (contract work) when companies need output but don’t want permanent hires

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Actionable Stuff
Follow the capex-over-headcount trend. If companies won’t hire, they’ll still spend on tools.
Prefer recurring revenue. Software that becomes “the system” tends to stay in place even when budgets tighten.
Look for clear ROI. Tools that save time, reduce errors, or replace repetitive work get approved faster.
Be picky with staffing plays. The winners are usually the firms tied to specialized, hard-to-fill roles, not generic hiring booms.
Build positions in pieces. A low-hire year can mean choppy sentiment—great for staged entries.

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Top Picks
UiPath (NYSE: PATH) If companies want to keep headcount flat but still hit targets, automation is the obvious cheat code. |
Paylocity (NASDAQ: PCTY) |
Coursera (NYSE: COUR) If hiring is weak, retraining gets louder. Companies would rather upskill the people they already pay than go shopping for talent in a slow, uncertain market. |
Kforce (NASDAQ: KFRC) This is the we still need work done, we just don’t want permanent headcount angle. |

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Bottom Line
2026 is shaping up like a low-hire, high-efficiency year. Companies aren’t waving the white flag on growth, they’re just trying to get there with smaller teams and smarter tools.
The clean investing angle is to own the picks-and-shovels of doing more with less: automation, workflow software, HR systems, and reskilling platforms, with a side of specialized staffing for the gaps that still need humans.

That’s it for today’s edition—thanks for reading! Reply to this email with any feedback or let me know which macro trends or markets you’d like me to cover next.
Best Regards,
—Noah Zelvis
Macro Notes


