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Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
The Market's Safety Cushion Just Disappeared

The Market's Safety Cushion Just Disappeared

Stocks and the 10-year now pay you about the same. That changes which stocks deserve your money.

Macro NewsletterMacro Newsletter
Friday Brings Durable Goods and GDP, Monday Delivers the First Consumer Bellwether

Friday Brings Durable Goods and GDP, Monday Delivers the First Consumer Bellwether

Four calendar events between now and next week decide whether the yield rout keeps running.

Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
You're Living Through Three Bull Markets at Once

You're Living Through Three Bull Markets at Once

Crude, gold, and AI names are all bid at once. The old playbook? Cooked.

Macro NewsletterMacro Newsletter
The Bond Market Is Telling You Rate Cuts Are Off The Table

The Bond Market Is Telling You Rate Cuts Are Off The Table

A bulging belly in the curve says higher-for-longer, and your rate-sensitive book knows it.

Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
The Buyer Shortage Behind Your 5% Discount Rate

The Buyer Shortage Behind Your 5% Discount Rate

Capital just got expensive. Here is what that does to every position you own.

Macro NewsletterMacro Newsletter
Are You Hedged For Next Week's Trump-Xi Headline?

Are You Hedged For Next Week's Trump-Xi Headline?

Warsh went hawkish, Hormuz is choking, and China risk lands on your desk Tuesday morning.

Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
The Stagflation Playbook You Now Need

The Stagflation Playbook You Now Need

The old playbook just got shredded. Here's what top investors are repositioning for now.

Macro NewsletterMacro Newsletter
Warsh's First Hike Just Repriced Every Duration Trade You Own

Warsh's First Hike Just Repriced Every Duration Trade You Own

The insurance-cut era is over and your rate-sensitive book is already paying for it.

Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
The Grain Rally Is Real: The Farm Balance Sheet Is Not

The Grain Rally Is Real: The Farm Balance Sheet Is Not

Grain prices are at 52-week highs, and the farm still cannot pay its bills. That gap is your trade.

Macro NewsletterMacro Newsletter
Oil Spiked, The Curve Compressed, And Now Warsh Owns Wednesday Afternoon

Oil Spiked, The Curve Compressed, And Now Warsh Owns Wednesday Afternoon

Brent near triple digits and a flattening curve just rewrote your Fed week playbook.

Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
The Bond Market Is Now Underwriting The AI Boom

The Bond Market Is Now Underwriting The AI Boom

The AI boom stopped being an equity story this year. It is a credit story now.

Macro NewsletterMacro Newsletter
The Three Forces Repricing Your Portfolio Before Wednesday

The Three Forces Repricing Your Portfolio Before Wednesday

Three forces are squeezing your portfolio this week, and none of them are about oil.

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