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Warsh's First Hike Just Repriced Every Duration Trade You Own
6 hours ago

Warsh's First Hike Just Repriced Every Duration Trade You Own

The insurance-cut era is over and your rate-sensitive book is already paying for it.

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Oil Spiked, The Curve Compressed, And Now Warsh Owns Wednesday Afternoon
Sep 15, 2026

Oil Spiked, The Curve Compressed, And Now Warsh Owns Wednesday Afternoon

Brent near triple digits and a flattening curve just rewrote your Fed week playbook.

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The Three Forces Repricing Your Portfolio Before Wednesday
Sep 13, 2026

The Three Forces Repricing Your Portfolio Before Wednesday

Three forces are squeezing your portfolio this week, and none of them are about oil.

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Is Your Portfolio Ready For A Hot CPI On Friday?
Sep 11, 2026

Is Your Portfolio Ready For A Hot CPI On Friday?

Long bonds are broken, crude is bid, and one AI trade is doing all the work.

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The Rate Cut Just Vanished, and CPI Friday Decides the Quarter
Sep 08, 2026

The Rate Cut Just Vanished, and CPI Friday Decides the Quarter

Hike odds flipped, Hormuz traffic cratered, and the yen is bleeding into your ETFs.

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The Fault Lines Cracking Before the Fed's Biggest Call
Sep 06, 2026

The Fault Lines Cracking Before the Fed's Biggest Call

A yen warning, a global long-end break, and a split FOMC all land before the September decision.

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Energy Leads and Cyclicals Bleed as the Rotation Tells You Who Is De-Risking
Sep 04, 2026

Energy Leads and Cyclicals Bleed as the Rotation Tells You Who Is De-Risking

Oil is back in charge, the dollar is bid, and markets are splitting under the surface.

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Hawkish Warsh Hands the Wheel to Cyclicals, Crude, and the Yen Carry Trade
Sep 01, 2026

Hawkish Warsh Hands the Wheel to Cyclicals, Crude, and the Yen Carry Trade

A hawkish Fed pivot just rewired duration, crude risk, and the software trade at once.

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Ottawa Loads the Tariff Hammer While Bessent Reloads the Buyback Bazooka
Aug 30, 2026

Ottawa Loads the Tariff Hammer While Bessent Reloads the Buyback Bazooka

Canada's tariff clock ticks, Treasury reloads the long end, and payrolls decide Fed week.

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Tariffs, a Treasury Bid, and a Jackson Hole Setup Rewrote The Week
Aug 28, 2026

Tariffs, a Treasury Bid, and a Jackson Hole Setup Rewrote The Week

Three shifts landed this week that reprice duration, autos and crude before Friday's keynote.

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One Buyback Flopped, One Trade War Escalated, and Warsh Grabs the Mic
Aug 25, 2026

One Buyback Flopped, One Trade War Escalated, and Warsh Grabs the Mic

The dots nobody's connecting could reshape your portfolio before month's end.

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The Treasury Just Doubled Its Buyback Firepower And Every Duration Trade Changes
Aug 23, 2026

The Treasury Just Doubled Its Buyback Firepower And Every Duration Trade Changes

Long yields cracked, gold surged, and the dollar sank. Here is what to reposition first.

Latest macroeconomic trends, market-moving news, and key indicators to watch.

Macro Notes

Latest macroeconomic trends, market-moving news, and key indicators to watch.

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