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The Week Warsh Can't Duck

The Week Warsh Can't Duck

Rate bets are shifting, a shipping lane is still frozen, and gold cleared a level the Street didn't see coming this fast.

Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
The Three-Headed Setup That's Breaking the Everything Rally

The Three-Headed Setup That's Breaking the Everything Rally

Three things just broke the buy-the-dip trade. Crude is going higher again, the 10-year is sniffing 5%, and hyperscaler cash flow is finally cracking. Still positioned like it's January? You're late.

Macro NewsletterMacro Newsletter
Four Forces Converging Before the Fed's Biggest Call of the Year

Four Forces Converging Before the Fed's Biggest Call of the Year

The Fed's boxed in, two chokepoints are offline, and the dollar's winning everything except gold.

Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
The Stagflation Trade Building Under a Runaway AI Rally

The Stagflation Trade Building Under a Runaway AI Rally

Oil's in the mid-$80s. Gold's north of $4,100. Yields are camped around 4.60%. And the Nasdaq won't quit.

Macro NewsletterMacro Newsletter
When the Rally Meets the Real World

When the Rally Meets the Real World

Three shockwaves are converging this week—and most portfolios aren't positioned for any of them.

Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
The Barrel Is Back in Charge of Your Portfolio

The Barrel Is Back in Charge of Your Portfolio

Four charts Wall Street can't stop watching—and one is flashing a warning few expect.

Macro NewsletterMacro Newsletter
Oil Surged Higher, PPI Came In Cool, and a Foreign Central Bank Just Flinched

Oil Surged Higher, PPI Came In Cool, and a Foreign Central Bank Just Flinched

PPI drops, Hormuz heats up, and Korea's rate hike just sent a signal through your chip portfolio.

Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
The Stagflation Setup Nobody Is Pricing In

The Stagflation Setup Nobody Is Pricing In

Inflation cooled, oil rallied, gold cleared $4,000. Three prints that shouldn't share a calendar week.

Macro NewsletterMacro Newsletter
Oil Pushed Past $78, Gold Cleared $4,000, and CPI Lands Tomorrow

Oil Pushed Past $78, Gold Cleared $4,000, and CPI Lands Tomorrow

Three days that rewrote every trader's playbook before Monday's open.

Macro NewsletterMacro Newsletter
The Trade That Broke the Ceasefire Just Reset the Fed's Playbook

The Trade That Broke the Ceasefire Just Reset the Fed's Playbook

Oil surged, gold cracked, and the Fed just quietly changed its tune. Here's what shifted overnight.

Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
The AI Capex Boom Is Now a Balance Sheet Story

The AI Capex Boom Is Now a Balance Sheet Story

The AI buildout just left the equity market and moved into the bond market. That changes everything.

Macro NewsletterMacro Newsletter
Warsh Rewrites the Playbook, Rate Hike Odds Sextuple in a Week

Warsh Rewrites the Playbook, Rate Hike Odds Sextuple in a Week

The July rate hike odds just jumped from 6% to 36% in a week. Here's what changed.

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