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Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
The IMF Just Moved Bonds To The Top Of The Worry List

The IMF Just Moved Bonds To The Top Of The Worry List

The IMF just put the bond market at the top of its worry list. Four names built for it.

Macro NewsletterMacro Newsletter
The Price Of Holding Treasuries Just Went Up

The Price Of Holding Treasuries Just Went Up

Record auction yields and a probe of a Fed governor are really the same story.

Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
The AI Boom Has Become A Bond Market Story

The AI Boom Has Become A Bond Market Story

Big Tech is borrowing to build. Here's who gets paid while that debt piles up.

Macro NewsletterMacro Newsletter
A Calm VIX Is Lying To You About Next Week

A Calm VIX Is Lying To You About Next Week

The VIX is pricing a quiet week. CPI and the big banks say otherwise.

Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
The Trade You Can't Hide From Anymore

The Trade You Can't Hide From Anymore

Beneath the calm surface, two silent forces are rewriting the rules of the game.

Macro NewsletterMacro Newsletter
$100 Brent And A 5.35% Ten-Year Just Broke Your Pivot Trade

$100 Brent And A 5.35% Ten-Year Just Broke Your Pivot Trade

Oil, the dollar, and hawkish minutes hit on the same tape. Here is what gets repriced.

Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
Inflation Just Moved From the Pump to the Service Counter

Inflation Just Moved From the Pump to the Service Counter

Service-sector prices just ran at their hottest pace since 2022. Four names get paid for it.

Macro NewsletterMacro Newsletter
Wednesday's FOMC Minutes Will Decide Whether Your Rally Survives

Wednesday's FOMC Minutes Will Decide Whether Your Rally Survives

One release Wednesday afternoon settles the hawkish-versus-dovish fight for the next two months.

Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
The Deal Machine Split In Two, And The Market Sold Both Halves

The Deal Machine Split In Two, And The Market Sold Both Halves

Dealmaking just had its slowest quarter in over a year. The firms that run it already paid for it.

Macro NewsletterMacro Newsletter
Shoppers Are Paying More And Buying Less, And Q4 Earnings Will Show It

Shoppers Are Paying More And Buying Less, And Q4 Earnings Will Show It

Holiday sales are headed for a record, and most of that gain is just higher prices.

Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
The 5% World Just Arrived and Most Portfolios Aren't Built For It

The 5% World Just Arrived and Most Portfolios Aren't Built For It

Two macro forces are setting up the biggest regime shift of the year. Here's where to hide.

Macro NewsletterMacro Newsletter
The Dollar Is Winning Every Fight Except The One That Actually Matters

The Dollar Is Winning Every Fight Except The One That Actually Matters

Reserve preference is shifting under your feet and long yields are the only tell left.

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