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Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
Housing Is Frozen at a 14-Year Low, and That's Where the Next Cycle Starts

Housing Is Frozen at a 14-Year Low, and That's Where the Next Cycle Starts

Builder confidence hit a 14-year low. Here's why that's where the next housing trade starts.

Macro NewsletterMacro Newsletter
Election Day Is Turning Into the Market's Real Deadline

Election Day Is Turning Into the Market's Real Deadline

Trade deals, jobs data, and the Fed are all bunching up around November 3.

Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
The Squeeze Moves to Main Street

The Squeeze Moves to Main Street

Builders just hit a 14-year low. Here's who still has pricing power when costs are up, demand is up, and rates are slipping. Not everyone gets squeezed.

Macro NewsletterMacro Newsletter
The Barrel, The Server Rack And The Fed Clock All Moved At Once

The Barrel, The Server Rack And The Fed Clock All Moved At Once

Brent hit $110, AI credit cracked, and the Oct. 28 Fed decision just went live.

Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
The AI Boom Just Got A Credit Check

The AI Boom Just Got A Credit Check

The AI boom just got a credit check. Here's who doesn't need a lender's permission to keep growing.

Macro NewsletterMacro Newsletter
Your Bonds Finally Earned Their Keep, And Hot Wholesale Prices Want It Back

Your Bonds Finally Earned Their Keep, And Hot Wholesale Prices Want It Back

Treasuries finally cushioned a stock selloff. The inflation data says don't lean on that too hard.

Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
The Rotation No One Was Ready For

The Rotation No One Was Ready For

The crowded bet everyone piled into just broke. Here's where the big players are fleeing

Macro NewsletterMacro Newsletter
Defensives Took The Bid While Tech Cracked And The Hike Debate Reopened

Defensives Took The Bid While Tech Cracked And The Hike Debate Reopened

The rotation into staples and energy just told you what phase of the cycle you're in.

Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
The IMF Just Moved Bonds To The Top Of The Worry List

The IMF Just Moved Bonds To The Top Of The Worry List

The IMF just put the bond market at the top of its worry list. Four names built for it.

Macro NewsletterMacro Newsletter
The Price Of Holding Treasuries Just Went Up

The Price Of Holding Treasuries Just Went Up

Record auction yields and a probe of a Fed governor are really the same story.

Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
The AI Boom Has Become A Bond Market Story

The AI Boom Has Become A Bond Market Story

Big Tech is borrowing to build. Here's who gets paid while that debt piles up.

Macro NewsletterMacro Newsletter
A Calm VIX Is Lying To You About Next Week

A Calm VIX Is Lying To You About Next Week

The VIX is pricing a quiet week. CPI and the big banks say otherwise.

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