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Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
A Blue Congress Hands Bonds the Win and AI the Bill

A Blue Congress Hands Bonds the Win and AI the Bill

Democrats now run Congress. Bonds cheered, tech flinched, and your playbook needs a rewrite.

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Election Week Opens With Oil Sliding and Rate Hikes Back in Play

Election Week Opens With Oil Sliding and Rate Hikes Back in Play

Midterms, Iran peace talks, a Bank of England hike, and the October jobs report all land this week.

Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
The Midterms Are Priced Like a Normal Tuesday

The Midterms Are Priced Like a Normal Tuesday

Markets price Tuesday's vote as routine. The risk they skip is a count that takes weeks.

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Paying More for Less, From the Checkout Line to Big Tech

Paying More for Less, From the Checkout Line to Big Tech

Shoppers paid more for less, AI bills hit Big Tech's cash, and buyers took companies private.

Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
The No-Landing Trap Markets Weren't Ready For

The No-Landing Trap Markets Weren't Ready For

Growth roars, prices burn, and your portfolio isn't ready for what comes next.

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The Long End Broke 5%, and Friday's Wage Print Decides What Happens Next

The Long End Broke 5%, and Friday's Wage Print Decides What Happens Next

The 30-year just cleared 5.36%, and one Friday data point reopens the December hike debate.

Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
The Reflation Trade Is Back, and the Fed Can't Stop It

The Reflation Trade Is Back, and the Fed Can't Stop It

Nat gas just surged 13% in a session. And the Fed has its hands in its pockets.

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Gold Cracked, Oil Round-Tripped, And Four Central Banks Now Hold The Pen

Gold Cracked, Oil Round-Tripped, And Four Central Banks Now Hold The Pen

The rotation already started. Four rate decisions in four days will tell you if it holds.

Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
The Low-Fire Economy Is Picking Winners

The Low-Fire Economy Is Picking Winners

Layoffs sit near 57-year lows while hiring stalls. Here's how to position for it.

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Silver's Slide, a Holiday Bet, and a Crowded Earnings Week

Silver's Slide, a Holiday Bet, and a Crowded Earnings Week

Metals are sliding, retailers are rallying into the holidays, and the euro is slipping.

Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
Housing Is Frozen at a 14-Year Low, and That's Where the Next Cycle Starts

Housing Is Frozen at a 14-Year Low, and That's Where the Next Cycle Starts

Builder confidence hit a 14-year low. Here's why that's where the next housing trade starts.

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Election Day Is Turning Into the Market's Real Deadline

Election Day Is Turning Into the Market's Real Deadline

Trade deals, jobs data, and the Fed are all bunching up around November 3.

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