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Tuesday's CPI Print Locks In Or Breaks The December Hike Trade

Tuesday's CPI Print Locks In Or Breaks The December Hike Trade

Tuesday's inflation report, the first since a blowout jobs print, decides how hard the Fed leans into a December hike.

Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
The World's Central Banks Are Hiking Again

The World's Central Banks Are Hiking Again

Rate hikes are spreading overseas. Here is what that means for your bonds, your cash, and two stocks.

Macro NewsletterMacro Newsletter
Data Centers Became a Ballot Issue, and AI Stocks Paid for It

Data Centers Became a Ballot Issue, and AI Stocks Paid for It

Data-center politics hit AI stocks, memory costs hit gadgets, and the labor force kept shrinking.

Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
The Debt-Ceiling Fight Wall Street Is Already Pricing

The Debt-Ceiling Fight Wall Street Is Already Pricing

Divided government is back, and the debt limit is the first big test.

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Gridlock Turns Into The Bullish Catalyst Wall Street Wanted

Gridlock Turns Into The Bullish Catalyst Wall Street Wanted

A weaker dollar, cheaper crude, and a flatter curve all point the same direction right now.

Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
A Blue Congress Hands Bonds the Win and AI the Bill

A Blue Congress Hands Bonds the Win and AI the Bill

Democrats now run Congress. Bonds cheered, tech flinched, and your playbook needs a rewrite.

Macro NewsletterMacro Newsletter
Election Week Opens With Oil Sliding and Rate Hikes Back in Play

Election Week Opens With Oil Sliding and Rate Hikes Back in Play

Midterms, Iran peace talks, a Bank of England hike, and the October jobs report all land this week.

Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
The Midterms Are Priced Like a Normal Tuesday

The Midterms Are Priced Like a Normal Tuesday

Markets price Tuesday's vote as routine. The risk they skip is a count that takes weeks.

Macro NewsletterMacro Newsletter
Paying More for Less, From the Checkout Line to Big Tech

Paying More for Less, From the Checkout Line to Big Tech

Shoppers paid more for less, AI bills hit Big Tech's cash, and buyers took companies private.

Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
The No-Landing Trap Markets Weren't Ready For

The No-Landing Trap Markets Weren't Ready For

Growth roars, prices burn, and your portfolio isn't ready for what comes next.

Macro NewsletterMacro Newsletter
The Long End Broke 5%, and Friday's Wage Print Decides What Happens Next

The Long End Broke 5%, and Friday's Wage Print Decides What Happens Next

The 30-year just cleared 5.36%, and one Friday data point reopens the December hike debate.

Macro AnalysisMacro Analysis
The Reflation Trade Is Back, and the Fed Can't Stop It

The Reflation Trade Is Back, and the Fed Can't Stop It

Nat gas just surged 13% in a session. And the Fed has its hands in its pockets.

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